GROWTH OR VALUE?
Choosing between growth or value stocks presents a challenging dilemma for every investor. In this article published in the December 2023 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities, I will try to resolve this dilemma that has been tormenting investors, by presenting a strategy that rotates between Vanguard’s Value and Growth ETFs according to market conditions.
TRADING THE FEAR INDEX
Most investors regard the VIX Index (aka “The Fear Index”) simply as a metric that might help them prepare for market movements but ignore any potentially lucrative trading opportunities that it offers. In this article published in the August 2022 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities, you can find a complete trading system to trade VIX derivatives and a lot of statistical information about the VIX as well.
STOCK MARKET SEASONALITY
Is there any value to the sell in May adage? Is October the best reentry month? Are there statistically significant seasonal patterns in the equity markets? Which are the best and worst months for the stock market? Can you improve on a seasonal system using other technical conditions? In this article published in the April 2022 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities, you can find out the answers to all the above and more.
BUY & HOLD OR BUY & SELL?
Market crashes or price shocks do not go away. As the Coronavirus crisis shows, market calamity can seemingly occur out of nowhere. In such cases fear will cause you to make the rash decision to sell near the bottom in a falling market and miss the opportunity of the recovery. Avoiding a hefty drawdown is a high priority for every investment strategy.Although trading a buy and hold strategy may sound like an oxymoron, in this article published in the July 2021 issue of Technical Analysis of stocks and Commodities, I present a long term strategy that improves on the drawdown and profit of your portfolio by avoiding major market selloffs.
DETECTING HIGH VOLUME BREAKOUTS
Looking at hundreds of charts for a high volume breakout pattern can be tedious and time consuming. In this article you will find a method to detect possible breakouts automatically. This article was published in the April 2021 issue of Technical Analysis of stocks and Commodities. You can also find the Amibroker code for a Volume Surge system here.
Is there a relation between the Bitcoin and other Commodities, currencies or stock Indices? Is it possible to forecast the bitcoin price using Intermarket strategies? Read the article in the August 2020 issue of Technical Analysis of stocks and Commodities to find out more. You can find more information about the Bitcoin including a trading system here.
USING RELATIVE STRENGTH TO OUTPERFORM THE MARKET
The traditional Relative Strength indicator has a number of deficiencies the most important being that its interpretation is only visible and indicator values are meaningless.In this article I introduce the RSMK indicator which builds on the traditional RS indicator but improves on this important impediment, producing values according to the stock’s relative strength thus making it useful in rating stocks or in trading systems.This article was published in the March 2020 issue of Technical Analysis of stocks and Commodities. You can also find the Amibroker code for a Relative Strength trading system here.
THE EFFECT OF ELECTIONS ON STOCK MARKET RETURNS
Do elections influence the stock market? Is there a pattern that investors can take advantage of? My statistical research suggests that there is one that produced more than 60% average returns during the election periods in countries around the world.
This article was published in the June 2019 issue of Technical Analysis of stocks and Commodities.